US Holiday, but we cannot rest due to another tariff punishment.
Data:
🟦 Global Rates / Yields
- United States: UST 2Y ~3.52% | 10Y ~4.20% | 30Y ~4.82% — yields edged higher as markets reassessed the pace of future Fed easing amid resilient activity data.
- United Kingdom: 10Y Gilt ~4.40%, steady after recent declines; easing expectations remain back-loaded into late-2026.
- Germany: 10Y Bund ~2.85%, little changed, anchored by ECB’s cautious stance.
- France: 10Y OAT ~3.50%, stable.
- Italy: 10Y BTP ~3.43%, spreads contained.
- Japan: 10Y JGB ~2.18%, near multi-decade highs, continuing to influence global rate correlations.
- Australia: 10Y ACGB ~4.70%, elevated as inflation risks linger.
- Canada: 10Y GoC ~3.35%, modestly lower alongside softer oil prices.
🟩 Equities — Major Index Moves
United States:
- S&P 500 (US500): ~6,940 (‑0.1%)
- Dow Jones ~49,359 (‑0.2%)
- Nasdaq Composite ~23,515 (‑0.1%)
S. indexes ended slightly lower, trimming gains ahead of a long weekend and as Q4 earnings - Nikkei 225 ~53,936 (‑0.3%)
- Euro Stoxx 50 (EU50) ~6,029 (‑0.2%)
- CAC 40 ~8,260 (‑0.6%)
- DAX (GER40) ~25,300 (‑0.2%)
European and Asian equity benchmarks also softened after recent record runs, with profit‑taking evident.
🟨 Macro / Economic Calendar
- Wall Street choppy:S. stocks ended flat to slightly lower ahead of long weekend, with tech and financials leading mixed sector performance.
- Rates & Fed Commentary: Fed policymakers signal readiness to cut rates if labor risks rise; markets price limited easing ahead.
- Geopolitical / Trade Risks: Tariff risks with Europe and trade policy headlines weigh on risk sentiment and currency volatility.
- Commodity Moves: Gold steadied near high levels as risk assets cooled; crude oil prices modestly positive after recent declines.
- Sector Rotation: Value and financial stocks showed relative strength while growth/AI‑linked tech faced intermittent profit‑taking.
- S.: Earnings season kicks off with mixed bank results adding to market caution; labor resilience underpins yield levels.
- Economic Data: Recent CPI and producer price indicators showed moderation but core inflation remains elevated, sustaining central bank vigilance.
- Housing & Retail: Canadian housing starts beat expectations; U.S. consumer spending solid but mixed across sectors per recent reports.
- FX & Policy: Yen weakness and potential intervention talk from Japanese officials added to macro risk pricing.
Companies.
+) Goldman Sachs shares rose after reporting stronger-than-expected quarterly profit, driven by robust equities trading and a rebound in advisory revenues, reinforcing the view that capital markets activity is normalizing into 2026.
+) Morgan Stanley advanced as results highlighted solid wealth-management inflows and resilient institutional securities revenue, supporting the broader financials rebound following early-week volatility.
+) Bank of America traded mixed after earnings showed higher net interest income year-on-year, though management cautioned on margin sensitivity as markets continue to price future Fed rate cuts.
+) Netflix gained after reports pointed to continued subscriber momentum and improving advertising-tier economics, keeping large-cap communication services relatively supported.
+) Apple edged higher as supply-chain commentary suggested stable iPhone demand and improving services revenue visibility, offsetting broader tech sector rotation.
+) Intel consolidated recent gains as investors digested policy support and capex guidance, with sentiment still tied to the long-term U.S. semiconductor manufacturing push.
+) Nvidia slipped modestly amid profit-taking after a strong run, reflecting ongoing dispersion within the AI and semiconductor complex rather than a broad risk-off move.
+) Tesla underperformed after renewed scrutiny on pricing strategy and margin sustainability in key international markets.
+) Exxon Mobil and Chevron traded lower alongside softer crude prices, weighing on the energy sector despite otherwise constructive equity sentiment.
+) United Airlines moved higher after management commentary pointed to solid forward bookings and pricing power, helping airlines outperform within consumer discretionary.
+) Pfizer and other large pharmaceuticals were mixed as investors balanced defensive positioning against selective biotech risk-taking elsewhere in the market.
+) BlackRock extended gains following earlier disclosures of record assets under management, keeping asset managers among the stronger financial subsectors.
+) Visa and Mastercard stabilized after recent weakness, as fears around consumer credit regulation eased slightly during the session.
+) Boeing was marginally higher as investors continued to price in improving delivery schedules and cash-flow visibility into the second half of the year.
+) Overall, company-specific earnings and guidance dominated trading, with investors rewarding clear visibility on margins and cash flows while trimming exposure to names sensitive to regulation, oil prices, or crowded AI positioning.
** Winners:
| Ticker | Company | Move | Market Cap (approx.) | Key Driver |
| MU | Micron Technology | +8% | ~$120bn | Insider-buying disclosure + renewed confidence in memory-cycle recovery |
| PNC | PNC Financial Services | +4% | ~$65bn | Earnings beat; stronger-than-expected net interest income |
| KLAC | KLA Corporation | +3–4% | ~$95bn | Semiconductor equipment strength tied to sustained foundry capex |
| MS | Morgan Stanley | +3% | ~$165bn | Trading & advisory revenues exceeded expectations |
| AVGO | Broadcom | +2–3% | ~$650bn | AI infrastructure demand + defensive large-cap tech bid |
** Losers:
| Ticker | Company | Move | Market Cap (approx.) | Key Driver |
| CEG | Constellation Energy | -10% | ~$45bn | Reports of potential U.S. grid restructuring hit utility valuations |
| VST | Vistra | -8% | ~$35bn | Same grid-policy concerns as CEG; sector-wide de-risking |
| RF | Regions Financial | -3% | ~$18bn | Earnings miss and cautious margin outlook |
| HOOD | Robinhood Markets | -3% | ~$15bn | Crypto-linked risk-off and regulatory sensitivity |
| DVN | Devon Energy | -3% | ~$24bn | Oil price weakness pressured E&P names |
General
G10 currencies traded with subdued volatility, reflecting a market still anchored to relative policy expectations rather than directional risk appetite. Liquidity was normal, but positioning remained cautious as investors continued to price gradual disinflation without committing to aggressive easing scenarios.
EUR: Euro consolidates as ECB caution offsets incremental USD softness
 The euro traded sideways as expectations for a measured ECB easing path remained intact. While softer U.S. yields limited dollar upside, fragile Eurozone growth and weak credit transmission capped EUR strength, keeping the pair driven by rate spreads rather than macro optimism.
GBP: Sterling stabilizes but remains constrained by UK growth and fiscal sensitivity
 Sterling held steady as global rate dynamics provided external support. However, domestic headwinds—including weak growth momentum and fiscal constraints—continued to limit upside, leaving GBP reactive to global yields rather than UK-specific catalysts.
USD: Dollar trades mixed as easing expectations balance safe-haven demand
 The U.S. dollar moved in a narrow range as markets balanced expectations for gradual Fed easing against persistent demand for liquidity and policy credibility. The dollar’s role remained hybrid—less yield-driven, but still supported by its defensive characteristics.
JPY: Yen remains pressured as carry dynamics dominate in low volatility
 The yen stayed soft as stable global yields and compressed volatility encouraged carry positioning. With no new policy signals from Japan, JPY continued to act as the adjustment valve for global rate differentials.
Precious Metals: Gold and silver consolidate as real yields stabilize
 Gold and silver traded in tight ranges as stabilizing real yields reduced momentum, while residual defensive demand provided a floor. The lack of fresh geopolitical escalation limited additional safe-haven inflows.
Energy: Oil prices ease as demand concerns resurface
 Brent and WTI edged lower as markets refocused on global demand uncertainty. While geopolitical risks remain a background support, they were insufficient to offset concerns over consumption and growth momentum.
Equity Flow: Investors remain selective, favoring quality over beta
 Equity flows continued to favor large-cap quality, defensives, and balance-sheet strength rather than broad risk-on exposure. The pattern reflected late-cycle discipline rather than confidence in a strong growth reacceleration.
Geopolitics: Strategic tensions remain a constraint, not a trigger
 Key geopolitical themes—including U.S.–China competition and regional conflicts—remained unchanged during the session. These risks continued to cap medium-term sentiment without driving near-term volatility.
Corporate Focus: Earnings visibility and cost discipline stay in focus
 Investor attention remained centered on corporate guidance quality ahead of earnings season. Companies emphasizing margin protection, cost control, and conservative demand assumptions continued to command valuation premiums.
Systemic View: Markets signal stabilization, not regime change
 Across asset classes, price action continued to reflect stabilization and differentiation rather than a synchronized shift toward higher risk. Financial conditions remained supportive, but investors stayed disciplined, awaiting clearer confirmation from data and earnings..
Upcoming News
Markets start the week in a holiday-thinned environment, as U.S. markets observe Martin Luther King Jr. Day, materially reducing liquidity and participation across FX, rates, and U.S. equities. Overall market sense is defensive and range-bound, with price action driven primarily by technical flows, Asia–Europe data spillovers, and headline sensitivity rather than U.S.-led fundamentals. Any moves that do occur are likely to be idiosyncratic and liquidity-driven, with limited follow-through.
With the United States closed, attention shifts to Asia–Pacific and Europe for directional cues. In Asia, Japan’s trade and activity indicators provide incremental insight into external demand and yen dynamics, while China remains headline-driven following last week’s GDP and activity data. In Europe, markets will monitor sentiment and activity releases for confirmation that early-2026 momentum is stabilising after a weak end to last year. EUR and GBP are expected to trade as satellites of global risk sentiment rather than domestic policy signals.
Corporate catalysts are absent, and with U.S. cash markets shut, today’s session is best characterized as a position-holding and information-gathering day ahead of a fuller data slate later in the week.
| Time (GMT+7) | Category | Country / Region | Event | Market Relevance |
| 07:50 | đź”´ Red News | Japan | Trade Balance | External demand signal; JPY sensitivity via flow dynamics |
| 15:15 | đź”´ Red News | United Kingdom | Claimant Count Change | Labour-market slack; GBP rates sensitivity |
| 15:15 | đź”´ Red News | United Kingdom | Average Earnings Index (3m/y) | Wage dynamics; BoE policy implications |
| 15:15 | đź”´ Red News | United Kingdom | Unemployment Rate | Labour-market health; sterling sensitivity |
| All day | đź”¶ Stress / Headlines | United States | U.S. markets closed (MLK Day) | Liquidity suppression across USD assets |
Snapshot – End 13.01.2026
FX
- DXY edged lower to 25 (-0.12%), extending its pullback as Treasury yields softened and risk sentiment weakened.
- GBP/USD rose to 3384 (+0.05%), supported by broad USD weakness despite limited UK catalysts.
- EUR/USD climbed to 1611 (+0.14%), benefiting from dollar softness and short-covering.
- USD/JPY fell to 68 (-0.24%), tracking lower U.S. yields and mild risk-off flows.
- USD/CHF declined to 7986 (-0.56%), underperforming as safe-haven demand rotated toward metals.
- AUD/USD was flat at 6683, while NZD/USD advanced to 0.5756 (+0.05%).
Crypto
- Bitcoin slipped to 94,612 (-0.53%), extending consolidation after recent highs.
- Ethereum was broadly stable at 3,310 (+0.04%).
- Solana dropped to 20 (-2.43%), underperforming the major crypto complex.
- Optimism (OP) fell sharply to 333 (-4.03%), reflecting profit-taking in higher-beta tokens.
Commodities
- Gold surged to 4,678.5 (+1.81%), supported by USD weakness and rising risk aversion.
- Silver jumped to 28 (+3.55%), significantly outperforming gold.
- Copper rose to 94 (+1.02%), aided by short-covering despite cautious global growth signals.
- Brent crude eased (-0.22%), pressured by demand concerns.
Equities / Indices
- S&P 500 fell to 6,898 (-0.68%), dragged by broad risk-off sentiment.
- Euro Stoxx 50 dropped to 5,974 (-1.02%), underperforming U.S. peers.
- Dow Jones declined to 49,123 (-0.53%).
- Nasdaq 100 was relatively resilient at 25,529 (-0.07%).
- VIX spiked to 42 (+4.44%), signaling rising near-term market uncertainty.
- CAC 40 slid to 8,259 (-0.65%).
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This report is provided to The Concept Trading from Van Hung Nguyen