Data:
🟦 Global Rates / Yields
- United States (Treasuries): Long-end yields eased modestly as year-end duration demand persisted. 2Y ~3.45–3.55% | 5Y ~3.75–3.85% | 10Y ~4.05–4.12% | 30Y ~4.75–4.82%. Curve dynamics continued to reflect expectations for Fed easing in 2026 rather than near-term cuts.
- United Kingdom (Gilts): 10Y ~4.40–4.48%, consolidating after the BoE’s recent cut and softer domestic demand signals; markets price further gradual easing in H1-2026.
- Australia (ACGBs): 10Y ~4.65–4.72%, broadly stable, tracking global long-end moves amid cooling inflation momentum.
- Canada (GoC): 10Y ~3.35–3.45%, range-bound as resilient growth offsets easing bias.
- Other key markets: Germany 10Y Bund ~2.80–2.87%; Japan 10Y JGB ~1.95–2.00%, holding near multi-decade highs as BoJ normalization debate stays front-of-mind.
🟩 Equities — Major Index Moves (Prior Session)
- United States:
- Nasdaq: +0.8–1.2%, led by selective mega-cap tech and semiconductors as AI sentiment stabilized.
- S&P 500 (US500): +0.5–0.8%, supported by communication services and technology; defensives lagged.
- Dow Jones: Flat to +0.2%, industrials offset by healthcare softness.
- Asia:
- Nikkei 225: -0.5–0.8%, pressured by higher JGB yields and a firmer yen into policy uncertainty.
- Europe:
- CAC 40: ~flat to +0.3%, aided by luxury and defensives.
- Euro Stoxx 50 (EU50): ~flat, reflecting cautious year-end positioning.
- DAX (GER40): -0.2–0.4%, exporters weighed by FX and demand headwinds.
🟨 Macro / Economic Calendar
- United States: Final Q3 GDP (revision) broadly confirmed moderating growth; inflation components remained consistent with gradual disinflation.
- United Kingdom: Retail sales surprised to the downside, reinforcing a softer demand outlook and easing bias.
- Japan: CPI follow-through commentary kept focus on sticky services inflation ahead of BoJ guidance.
Companies.
+) Market breadth improved, with advancing issues outpacing decliners across major U.S. exchanges.
+) Technology leadership strengthened, reinforcing the market’s reliance on a narrow group of growth and AI-related names.
+) Semiconductor stocks remained a key driver, as earnings visibility improved for memory and data-center exposed companies.
+) Consumer discretionary stocks showed mixed performance, with travel and leisure outperforming while apparel lagged.
+) Financials traded sideways, as stable yields limited near-term catalysts for banks.
+) Energy and materials underperformed, pressured by softer commodity prices and profit-taking.
+) ETF flows indicated renewed interest in growth-oriented and thematic products, particularly technology-heavy funds.
+) Earnings reactions continued to dominate stock-specific moves, contributing to elevated single-name volatility.
+) European equities traded broadly higher, supported by U.S. market strength and improving risk sentiment.
** Top 3 Sector Gainers
| Sector | Daily Performance | Key Driver |
| Information Technology | +1.3% | Semiconductor & software strength |
| Communication Services | +1.0% | Mega-cap and platform gains |
| Consumer Discretionary | +0.8% | Travel & leisure rebound |
** Top 3 Sector Losers
| Sector | Daily Performance | Key Driver |
| Energy | −0.6% | Softer oil prices |
| Materials | −0.4% | Commodity pullback |
| Consumer Staples | −0.3% | Rotation out of defensives |
** Top 5 Gainers:
| Company | Market Cap | Volume | % Move | Catalyst |
| Carnival (CCL) | ~$20B | Very high | +9.5% | Earnings beat & dividend reinstatement |
| Oracle (ORCL) | ~$350B | High | +7.0% | Strategic partnership narrative |
| Micron (MU) | ~$90B | High | +6.8% | Strong earnings & guidance |
| BioMarin (BMRN) | ~$17B | High | +18% | Acquisition announcement |
| CoreWeave | Mid-cap | High | +20% | Analyst upgrade |
** Top 5 Loser:
| Company | Market Cap | Volume | % Move | Catalyst |
| Nike (NKE) | ~$160B | Very high | −10.5% | Margin pressure & China weakness |
| Lamb Weston (LW) | ~$12B | High | −25% | Earnings miss |
| Procter & Gamble (PG) | ~$355B | Normal | −0.7% | Defensive rotation |
| Select homebuilders | Large-cap | Normal | −1–2% | Affordability concerns |
| Energy majors | Mega-cap | Normal | −1% | Oil price softness |
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General
EUR eases slightly as positioning effects offset stable policy expectations The euro edged lower as year-end profit-taking and light positioning pressures outweighed steady ECB-related expectations. With no major Eurozone data surprises, EUR price action remained largely driven by flows and relative rate considerations rather than fundamental reassessment.
GBP underperforms modestly as UK growth concerns resurface Sterling softened as investors revisited concerns over the UK’s weak growth outlook and fiscal constraints, tempering the support from global rate dynamics. Market participants remained cautious ahead of clearer signals on how the Bank of England may balance slowing activity against persistent inflation risks.
USD firms modestly on defensive flows rather than policy repricing The Dollar Index gained slightly as liquidity thinned and investors favored incremental safety into year-end. The move reflected positioning and funding considerations more than a change in expectations around the Fed’s easing trajectory.
JPY weakens as carry dynamics regain influence in quiet markets The yen slipped as lower volatility and stable U.S. yields encouraged selective carry positioning. Despite lingering sensitivity to rate moves, the absence of policy surprises from the BOJ kept JPY largely reactive to global flow dynamics.
Gold holds steady as safe-haven demand offsets profit-taking Gold prices were broadly stable as mild defensive demand balanced ongoing profit-taking into year-end. Contained real yields continued to underpin bullion, though the lack of fresh macro catalysts limited upside momentum.
Oil trades sideways as demand uncertainty dominates year-end pricing Brent and WTI remained range-bound, with global demand concerns continuing to outweigh supply-side headlines. Energy markets showed little inclination to reprice inflation risks meaningfully at current levels.
Equity Flow turns cautious as investors reduce exposure into year-end Equity flows suggested incremental de-risking rather than rotation, with investors scaling back exposure across regions amid limited appetite to add risk late in the year. Positioning favored capital preservation over return-seeking.
Geopolitical backdrop remains subdued but structurally restrictive Geopolitical risks, including U.S.–China strategic competition and ongoing regional conflicts, stayed largely unchanged during the session. While not triggering immediate volatility, these issues continued to cap medium-term risk appetite.
Upcoming News
Markets open the new week in a thin-liquidity, year-end environment, with sentiment tilted toward cautious consolidation rather than fresh risk-taking. With the bulk of December’s high-impact inflation and central-bank events already behind markets, attention now shifts to late-cycle growth signals, positioning flows, and headline risk, particularly as many institutional desks begin to wind down ahead of the holidays. FX and rates are expected to trade in compressed ranges, though localized volatility remains possible around any data surprise given reduced depth.
In the United States, today’s macro focus is limited but still relevant, with housing- and manufacturing-related indicators offering incremental insight into demand conditions heading into year-end. Markets will look for confirmation that the U.S. slowdown remains orderly, consistent with expectations for policy easing in 2026. Any downside surprise could reinforce defensive positioning and weigh on the dollar, while resilience would help stabilize risk sentiment into the holiday period.
Across Europe, the calendar is notably light following last week’s CPI and PMI releases. EUR price action is therefore likely to be driven primarily by U.S. spillovers and relative rate expectations, rather than domestic data. In the Asia–Pacific region, Japan’s inflation-related data and China’s policy headlines remain in focus, though trading conditions are expected to be subdued as regional markets also approach year-end.
| Time (GMT+7) | Category | Country / Region | Event | Market Relevance |
| 06:30 | 🔴 Red News | Japan | CPI (y/y) | Inflation trend; BoJ policy expectations and JPY sensitivity |
| 20:30 | 🔴 Red News | United States | Personal Income | Household income momentum; USD and rates impact |
| 20:30 | 🔴 Red News | United States | Personal Spending | Consumption strength; key growth signal |
| 20:30 | 🔴 Red News | United States | Core PCE Price Index (m/m) | Fed’s preferred inflation gauge |
| 22:00 | 🔴 Red News | United States | Prelim UoM Consumer Sentiment | Confidence and demand outlook |
| 22:00 | 🔴 Red News | United States | Prelim UoM Inflation Expectations | Inflation psychology; Fed credibility |
| All day | 🔶 Stress / Headlines | Global | Year-end positioning / policy headlines | Can exaggerate moves in thin liquidity |
Snapshot – Early Monday
G7 FX
The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) was broadly stable at 98.72 (+0.01%), as markets consolidated ahead of year-end with limited macro catalysts and reduced liquidity. Major FX pairs traded in tight ranges, reflecting positioning rather than fresh directional conviction.
- EUR/USD:1707 (–0.01%) — euro slightly softer, but downside remained contained.
- GBP/USD:3376 (+0.03%) — pound marginally firmer, supported by relative yield stability.
- USD/JPY:68 (–0.01%) — yen steady, tracking U.S. yield consolidation.
- USD/CHF:7958 (+0.01%) — CHF stable in low-volatility conditions.
- EUR/GBP:8753 (–0.01%) — range-bound.
- USD/CAD:3774 (–0.06%) — CAD slightly firmer as oil rebounded modestly.
Metals
Precious metals extended their consolidation near recent highs, with modest upside in silver and copper.
- Gold (XAU/USD): 4,353.96 (+0.35%) — continued to hold above the 4,300 support zone.
- Silver (XAG/USD):42 (+0.40%) — outperformed gold on relative momentum.
- Copper:51 (+0.28%) — modest gains amid stabilization in industrial metals.
Global Indices
Equities traded mixed but constructive, with U.S. tech leading gains and volatility easing further.
- S&P 500 (SPX500): 6,858.15 (+0.18%)
- EU50: 5,772.65 (+0.11%)
- Dow Jones CFD: 48,272.45 (+0.16%)
- Nasdaq 100: 25,346.18 (+1.31%)
- VIX:17 (–0.92%)
- CAC 40: 8,151.39 (+0.01%)
Analysis: Risk appetite improved modestly, driven primarily by tech strength. Falling volatility signaled continued complacency, though overall participation remained light.
Crypto Markets
Crypto assets saw mild stabilization, with selective strength in Ethereum while broader altcoins lagged.
- BTC/USD: 88,601 (+0.31%)
- ETH/USD: 3,002.1 (+0.85%)
- SOL/USD:03 (+0.17%)
- OP/USD:272 (–2.16%)
This report is provided to The Concept Trading from Van Hung Nguyen